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Tidbits, China Trade Deal, S&D Report, Crop Progress, ENSO, Export Inspections 5/13/25

Highlights


The U.S. and China trade agreement details announced yesterday morning:

  • A 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs.

  • Both Countries dropped their tariff rates by 115 percent points.

  • The U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods reduced from 145% to 30%.

  • China’s tariffs on U.S. goods will be 10%, with 24% suspended for 90 days and 91% removed.

  • China removed all non-tariff countermeasures (all “lame” excuses like quotas, phyto-sanitary restrictions, etc.)

  • China sent their deputy minister for public safety to address the fentanyl crisis, which US officials called an "upside surprise" - completely unexpected.


U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said talks with China could lead to “purchasing agreements.”

Negotiations in the next 90 days will focus on rebalancing trade and addressing the $1.2 trillion trade deficit. Both sides agreed that neither side wants decoupling. They want rebalancing, not separation.


S&D Highlights

All four corn carryout numbers (old and new crop, U.S. and world) were less than expected, especially new crop world carryover which was below the lowest pre-report estimate.

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