Managing The Basis to Maximize Cash Price
The first principle of marketing grain is to separate the day one locks-in the basis from the day one locks-in the futures price. Why?...
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- Nov 14
- 5 min
Track Exports to Predict Carryover Changes
Export Sales, Export Inspection, and Exports The USA exports about 16% of its corn production, 48% of its soybeans, 52% of its wheat, 75%...
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- Nov 14
- 3 min
How to Predict Probable Demand Changes on USDA S&D Reports
On or about the tenth of every month, the USDA issues a Supply and Demand (S&D) Report. Below is the S&D for corn issued in September...
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- Oct 9
- 3 min
Extra Beans: Commercial Storage or Sell Cash and Buy a Call Option
Marketing question from a client (first week of October 2022): Roger, I have about one-third of my soybeans unpriced. Am I better off to...
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- Aug 2
- 4 min
What Should You Do Today? 8/1/22
New Tidbits The Sierra Leone-flagged ship Razoni with 26,000 mts of corn, departed Odessa at 9:48 am local time on today heading to...
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- Jul 31
- 3 min
What Are Put Options & How to Use Them - Lesson 15 - Liquidation 7/30/22
To read any or all of the previous lessons on Put Options, go to the Farm Futures link below. September CBOT Wheat Put Options. Lesson 15...
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- Jun 3
- 3 min
Olga's Options. Lesson 2. 6/4/22
Olga has Master’s Degree in Mechanical Engineering and she was smart enough to marry me, so she is not a person of low intelligence....
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- May 8
- 3 min
A Study of Open Interest 5/7/22
Open Interest Change and Market Price Direction = Price Outlook For the three weeks ending April 22, 2022, corn open interest (the number...
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- May 1
- 2 min
Why Use a HTA Contract Instead of a Forward Contract?
There are two grain markets. The futures market is the measure of the world supply and demand and the basis is the measure of local...
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- Mar 7
- 2 min
How to Use Put Options: Simplified Version
When a farmer contracts grain, that includes locking-in the futures price at to arrive at a cash price. Often times, the futures price...
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- Feb 17
- 4 min
The Facts of Grain Marketing
Since the Tech Guy had booked a commitment awhile back for this evening, there will be no opening calls or Tech Talk from him. But I do...
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- Feb 8
- 5 min
The Joe Kennedy Story
How An Eight Year Boy Saved the Kennedy Fortune: Bullish Consensus Bullish Consensus is the measure of how many market advisors are...
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- Jan 22
- 3 min
Open Interest of Specs
Open interest is the number of futures contracts on the books that must be offset at some later date with an equal, but opposite...
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- Dec 29, 2021
- 22 min
CDL Test Notes
CDL Written Test Notes: prepared July 2009 by Roger Wright 937 605 1061 I. Introduction A. Drivers who must have CDL 1. single vehicle...
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- Dec 29, 2021
- 5 min
CDL Pre Trip Inspection Guide
CDL Pre-trip Inspection Guide Line State what you will check; do not check! Time limit: 30 minutes. Identify each part and what you are...
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- Nov 7, 2021
- 4 min
Unused Price Insurance Can Still Make You Money
Roger, If I bought a March corn put for 12 cents, how far can market go up before that is worthless? As long as an option has not...
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- Oct 31, 2021
- 3 min
SAF Will Change Your Life
1 November 2021 An Englewood, Colorado based company called simply Gevo makes sustainable, low-carbon biofuel and chemicals. After ten...
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- Oct 29, 2021
- 11 min
Delivery Process at the CBOT
Futures Market Delivery Process and What It Indicates About the Price Outlook The one and only thing that keeps the futures markets...
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- Sep 3, 2021
- 9 min
How to Use Open Interest to Predict Price Change
How to Use Open Interest A "big spec fund" (speculative trading fund) is group of investors who pool their money and hire a manager to...
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- Jun 13, 2021
- 5 min
Gaps and How To Use Them
Technical Analysis Education: What are “Gaps” and How to Use Them There are many, many technical indicators and tools used by traders to...