Grain Marketing Education, News & Strategies

Market Comment There was no new news yesterday that justified such strong action. It felt like the buying was more of a ground-swell of bullish news that had not been fully priced into these markets for the past two years. Eduardo Vanin is a soybean export trader with AgrInvest Commodities said: “Seems market realized Brazil will not have enough beans to cover China and Brazil's local industry. Soybean meal up ~2.5% today. Market in China turned to (government) auctions, Arge

Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn, soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), also for inputs like fuel and fertilizer for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report. We provide three different marketing plans (in order of decreasing our preference). The marketing decision is yours to make, obviously you can mix those plans, change the s

Tidbits Flash Sales: The USDA reported yesterday sales of 132,000 mts of new crop soybeans to unknown. Iran & China: U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent announced “Operation Economic Outcast” yesterday, saying “If (countries) facilitate transactions and are part of the ecosystem that turns Iranian oil into money, into repression, they will be targeted.” This includes any country that participates in Iran’s aviation, shipping, and technology sectors. Bessent said that China will n

Tidbits Brazil: Roraima is a small state in the far north of Brazil bordering Venezuela to the north and Guyana to the east. It is north of the Amazon River and a bit north of the Equator. Farmers plant corn and beans in March or April and harvest in September. El Niño brings drier weather to Roraima just as it does to Central Brazil where the majority of Brazil’s corn, beans, and cotton are grown. Early harvest has begun. Some producers are reporting the loss of entire crops

Tidbits Market Comment: December corn opened 2 to 4¢ higher last evening and then proceeded to move 13¢ higher in the first two hours of trading. Wheat was a follower gaining 2¢ less than the corn. Soybeans were down 4 to 7¢ as the Pro Farmers yield numbers were more than a half bushel above the USDA’s. The next USDA crop production report is 11 September, 14 trading days away. A lot can happen between now and 11 September. Keep in mind, StoneX put the corn yield at 184.8 and

World Free-On-Board Grain & Oilseed Prices for August 15, 2026

It's our weekly U.S. grain market analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat, including traders positioning, basis bids tracking, crush margins, weekly news wrap-up and comments. The Dow Jones Index settled on Friday at 53,277, -455 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $86.64, +4.24. Dollar Index settled at 98.84, -0.80. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 2,841, -3. Corn September futures settled at $4.83¾, +24¾¢ for the week. December cor

Tidbits Pro Farmer Crop Tour and USDA corn yield comparison: The Pro Farmer corn yield is obviously supportive for corn prices, but until the USDA prints a similar yield, the market’s reaction will be subdued. Given pollination problems which have been confirmed in August, it is reasonable to expect USDA to reduce their corn yield in the coming months. S&D Possible Changes and Comparisons:

Tidbits Flash Sales: Yesterday morning the USDA announced sales of: 205,000 mts of new crop corn to unknown 712,000 mts of new crop soybeans to China 720,000 mts of new crop soybeans to unknown Market Comment: That is 1.432 million mts of soybeans booked for export and November beans traded lower most of the day yesterday but did manage to settle 3¢ higher. The contract high was made on 24 July and yesterday’s settlement was 17¢ below the contract high. We have had a lot of b

Tidbits Corn and Soybean Facts of Life: The only years that corn and soybean futures decline after the first half of September are the years that yields are uniformly better than expected across the Corn Belt. If you think yields across the Corn Belt are not going to be better than the market expects, do not be pricing corn or soybeans yet. Key Put Option Premiums: $4.80 December Corn Put: 12-3¢ (12 and three-eighths) $12.00 November Soybean Put: 17-3¢ $11.00 November Soybean

Tidbits The U.S. President announced late on Tuesday he was putting a three-day pause on new ​50% tariffs set to go into effect on Canadian goods yesterday, saying the two countries had reached a deal. U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 4.4 million barrels to 428.8 million barrels in the week ended August 14, marking a third consecutive weekly increase. Gasoline stocks rose by 0.7 million barrels and the market was looking for a decline, while distillate stockpiles fell by 1.

Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn, soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), also for inputs like fuel and fertilizer for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report. We provide three different marketing plans (in order of decreasing our preference). The marketing decision is yours to make, obviously you can mix those plans, change the s

Tidbits Flash Sales: The USDA announced yesterday morning the sale of 136,000 mts of new crop soybeans to China. Biofuel: Vietnam has completed its rollout across all urban areas of a mandatory E10 blending requirement in its most popular gasoline grade, which is expected to eventually generate annual ethanol demand of 240 million gallons. The policy ensures 100% of gasoline grades sold in Vietnam will contain ethanol, beginning in June 2026. The US Grains & BioProducts Counc

Tidbits U.S. Crops: The USDA’s 180.7 corn yield reported on 12 August was based upon conditions as of the first of August. Ohio and Indiana were both projected to have record corn yields. Since those numbers were gathered, all 92 counties in Indiana have been declared a disaster due to excessive rain, as have 2 in Ohio, which will probably see several more added in the coming days. The historic flooding, record river crests, downed corn, some hail, and standing water from cen

Tidbits Weekend Comments from AgrInvest Commodities in Brazil: The fertilizer market ended the week with strong downward pressure on nitrogen fertilizers, especially after the results of the Indian tender and the expansion of urea export quotas by China. Urea fell to the US$410–415/t CFR Brazil range, approaching the year's lows and increasing expectations of a demand recovery if prices break the US$400/t level. Ammonium sulfate followed the downward trend, giving back much

World Free-On-Board Grain & Oilseed Prices for August 15, 2026

It's our weekly U.S. grain market analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat, including traders positioning, basis bids tracking, crush margins, weekly news wrap-up and comments. The Dow Jones Index settled on Friday at 53,732, -305 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $82.4, +5.32. Dollar Index settled at 99.64, +0.04. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 2,844, -245. Corn September futures settled at $4.59, +20¢ for the week. December corn

Tidbits Photos From East Central South Dakota: 16X30 29,000 population on the field where these ears came from. Fertilizer: Mosaic Company is an American chemical company based in Tampa, Florida, which mines phosphate, potash, and collects urea through various international distribution networks and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It is the largest USA producer of potash and phosphate fertilizers. Drew Crawford is an American financial whiz living in Brazil who established a busi

Tidbits Markets: Corn closed the week strong, supported by aggressive buying in wheat. September corn gained 11¢, while December added 11¼¢. For the week, December corn gained 21¼ cents. The lack of a cease-fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine sent wheat futures sharply higher, with SRW gaining more than 3% and HRW rising over 4%. September soybeans gained 11¾¢ while November gained 10¼¢. Higher crude oil and continued new-crop soybean sales to China also added support.

Tidbits Soybeans and wheat held up well yesterday after Wednesday’s gains, but corn gave back almost half of Wednesday’s gains despite some Wednesday reports that a derecho may have extended from South Dakota to Virginia. While there was a lot of wind and water damage to crops and buildings, when the sun came up Thursday, the corn crop was not damaged nearly as bad as some analysts suggested. The bullish news for corn that is not going to go away is that both the old and new