BASIC & RECENT MARKET INFO

Tidbits Flash sale: Yesterday morning the USDA announced the sale of 192,350 mts of old crop soybeans to unknown. Biofuel: Republican U.S. lawmakers plan to create a task force to study potential year-round sales of higher-ethanol E15 gasoline blends in the U.S., after an attempt to pass such legislation in a funding bill this week fell through. Farm groups and Midwest ethanol advocates blasted the decision to form a task force instead of passing legislation, calling it a blo

Tidbits President Trump said yesterday afternoon he will not slap a tariff on any European nations on 1 February who opposed his aggressive efforts to gain control of Greenland. Following a meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in Davos, Switzerland yesterday, Trump said they formed the framework of a future deal for Greenland. He said: “I don’t have to use force. I don’t want to use force. I won’t use force.” NATO spokesperson Allison Hart said:  “Discussions among

Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn , soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), also for inputs like fuel and fertilizer for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report here . We provide three different marketing plans (in order of decreasing our preference). The marketing decision is yours to make, obviously you can mix those plans, cha

Tidbits Exports: Yesterday morning, the USDA reported sales of 190,000 mts of old crop soybean meal to the Philippines. News sources indicate China has likely reached its 12 million mts commitment of U.S. soybeans purchases for the 2025/26 marketing year, and that further purchases are unlikely until September unless prices are competitive with South American soybean prices. Most of the volume is heading for reserves and is 47% fewer than China bought in 2024/25. The USDA pur

Tidbits Homeland Energy at Lawler in Northeast Iowa, is allowing contracted corn for February to be delivered now. Another tidbit of bullishness for corn prices. Exports: The U.S. has shipped over 2 million tons of soybeans to Egypt since September, up 43% from the same period last season. That covers more than 40% of Egypt's projected annual imports. The U.S. share increased to 76% from 41% in recent years, while Ukraine's share fell from 33% to 15%. Brazilian beef exports w

Tidbits The EU  is very upset that Trump has put a tariff on all their products shipped to the U.S. until the U.S. gains control of Greenland. The EU is our largest importer of soybean meal. Last year, the EU imported 20.6 million mts of U.S. soybean meal.   The U.S. economy  has two major problems:   Unprofitable grain production for most of the last three years with 2026 looking just as bad or worse.  Datacenters under construction or planned for construction will not have

It's our weekly U.S. grain market analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat, including traders positioning, basis bids tracking, crush margins, weekly news wrap-up and comments. Dow Jones  Industrial Average Index settled on Friday at 49,359, -145 points for the week. Crude oil  settled at $59.3, +0.52. Dollar Index  settled at 99.38, +0.24. Baltic Dry Index  (a shipping freight-cost index)  settled at 1,532, -156. Corn March futures settled at $4.24¾, -21¢ for the we

Tidbits When commodity futures prices add carry (return to storage) for a given commodity, it is telling farmers it will pay farmers to store that commodity. Typically, in a down market, the carry increases. Logically, in an up market, the carry decreases as the market reduces the incentive to store.   In recent years, we have developed a great deal of respect for the changes in the carry as a long-term indicator of the price direction.   Last year, the USDA presented a corn

Tidbits

Tidbits Ag Futures will not trade Sunday night to Monday afternoon morning due to Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Grain futures will reopen Monday evening at normal times. Exports: Yesterday morning, the USDA announced the sale of 136,000 mts of old crop corn to South Korea and 334,000 mts of old crop soybeans to China. Chinese customs data showed they imported 8.044 million mts of beans from all sources in December 2025, up 1.2% from December 2024. Total imports in 2025 at 111.8

Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn , soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), also for inputs like fuel and fertilizer for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report here . We provide three different marketing plans (in order of decreasing our preference). The marketing decision is yours to make, obviously you can mix those plans, cha

Tidbits President Trump announced that he will immediately impose a 25% tariff on any country that does any business with Iran. According to the most recent World Bank data, Iran, an OPEC member, exported goods to 147 countries in 2022. Its largest trading partners are China, certain East Asian countries, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Turkey, and Germany. The price of crude oil rose by another $1.50. The Supreme Court is expected to issue their ruling on Trump’s tariffs tod

USDA's S&D Highlights The highlights of yesterday’s USDA data were: Corn yield: 186.5, 1.2 bushels above the highest  pre-report estimate.     Corn production was 294 million bushels more than the highest  estimate. Corn harvested acres: 900,000 more than the highest estimate with an increase of 1.22 million in January after an increase of 1.38 million in September after a 1.93 million increase  in August. Corn world carryover was 7.91 million mts more than the highest estima

The numbers were bearish for corn, wheat and beans.   CBOT 20 Minutes After Report Mar corn -17 Mar beans -14 July CBOT wheat -8 July KC wheat -9 Sept Spring wheat -1    Do not panic sell. If anything, buy some futures to offset previous cash sales. There will not be any worse news than this and users will be buying ahead. The market is not going to believe these corn production numbers.

Corn Outlook & Tidbits At 11 AM Central Time today USDA will release its final 2025 crop production reports, monthly S&D for the U.S. and the world, as well actual planted acres for winter wheat. We will send you the numbers as quickly as we can.   Corn prices:  Yesterday afternoon Teucrium Investments reminded its clients that seasonal studies show that corn frequently finds a post-harvest low in early autumn before stabilizing and pushing higher into year-end and beyond. Th

It's our weekly U.S. grain market analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat, including traders positioning, basis bids tracking, crush margins, weekly news wrap-up and comments. Dow Jones  Industrial Average Index settled on Friday at 49,504, +1,122 points for the week. Crude oil  settled at $58.78, +1.45. Dollar Index  settled at 99.14, +0.71. Baltic Dry Index  (a shipping freight-cost index)  settled at 1,688, -194. Corn March futures settled at $4.45¾, +8¼¢ for the

Tidbits Iran:  The ongoing protests in Iran escalated the past two days. The Iranian government cut internet access and telephone service in the major cities on Thursday. The demonstrations now span all 31 Iranian provinces. The protests began as a protest against an economy in freefall but soon broadened to demand the overthrow of the government. Rebels report they have complete control of two major Iranian cities. The Human Rights Activist News Agency, which tallies only vi

Tidbits Flash sale:  Yesterday morning, the USDA announced the sale of 198,000 mts of old crop soybeans to unknown.   The U.S. Supreme Court  did not issue a ruling yesterday on President Trump’s global tariffs.   The U.S. unemployment  rate edged down to 4.4% in December 2025, from a revised 4.5% in November, which had marked the highest level since October 2021. The reading also came in slightly below market expectations of 4.5%. The economy added 50,000 non-farm payrolls i

Tidbits Tariffs: The U.S. Supreme Court is expected to announce later this morning their decision on the legality of Trump’s tariffs. The administration faces the possibility of having to refund nearly $150 billion paid in tariffs to importers if the court declares that the sweeping duties Trump has imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act are illegal. Venezuela: The U.S. Senate voted yesterday to advance a resolution that would bar President Donald Trump

Tidbits On Monday at 11 AM Central Time, the USDA will issue its revised estimates for domestic and world Supply and Demand (S&D), the final 2025 U.S. crop production and yield numbers, the Quarterly Stocks (inventory) of commodities as of 1 December 2025, Winter Wheat and Canola seedings, and Cotton Ginnings. The January USDA reports are one of the top three major report days of every year for grain producers and users. The market action of March futures for the day of & the