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Tidbits, S&D Highlights, Fed Reserve, Iran, ENSO, Export Inspections 1/13/26

USDA's S&D Highlights


The highlights of yesterday’s USDA data were:

  • Corn yield: 186.5, 1.2 bushels above the highest pre-report estimate.    

  • Corn production was 294 million bushels more than the highest estimate.

  • Corn harvested acres: 900,000 more than the highest estimate with an increase of 1.22 million in January after an increase of 1.38 million in September after a 1.93 million increase in August.

  • Corn world carryover was 7.91 million mts more than the highest estimate.

  • Corn for feed use in the U.S. increased 100 million bushels.

  • Soybean harvested acres increased 100,000 acres.

  • Soybean stocks as of 1 December were actually 6 million less than expected.

  • Winter wheat seeded acres were 700,000 more than expected at 33 million; the highest estimate was 33.4 million.


Brazil’s soybean crop was increased by 3 million to 178 million mts. It is very unusual for USDA to change any production estimates in SA this early in the growing season, especially after a late planting. Everything else in South America was unchanged.


USDA did increase the national average price to be paid to farmers for their 2025 corn by 10¢; USDA reports that price increase on a day their numbers cause corn futures to settle 24¢ lower. It is rather insulting, don’t you think?

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