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Tidbits, Wheat Marketing, Crop Progress, ENSO, Export Inspections 5/28/25
Tidbits Corn planting progress is now at 87% vs 85% 5-year average. Corn crop conditions were rated at 68% good or excellent vs 75% this time last year. Soybean planting progress is now at 76% vs 68% 5-year average. Winter wheat сonditions were rated 50% good or excellent. Dr. Michael Cordonnier reduced his Argentine soybean forecast by 1.5 million mts to 48.5 million mts (USDA 49) due to flooding, while maintaining his Argentine corn estimate at 50 million mts (USDA 50), as

Wright team
May 285 min read


Tidbits, Weather, Crude Oil, Wheat, Trends Education 5/27/25
Tidbits The National Weather Service predicts the Eastern Corn Belt will finally get some dry weather in the next two weeks. Perhaps all the corn will get planted in Indiana and Ohio after all. Tractors were in the West Central Ohio fields yesterday, but the soil is really too wet for a good crop growth. Compaction will be a problem in the Eastern Corn Belt. Aluísio Pancracio is the owner of Sastra Consultoria based in the municipality of Rio Verde, in the state of Goiás, Br

Wright team
May 275 min read


Weekly Basis 5/25/25
It's our weekly US grain market prices analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index settled at 41,603, -1,052 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $61.76, -0.73. Dollar Index settled at 99.1, -1.88. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 1,340, -48 for the week. Corn July futures at $4.59½, +16¢ for the week. December futures at $4.50¾, +15¼¢ for the week. Basis (N = July; e.g. 10N means 10¢ over July

Wright team
May 255 min read


Tidbits, Russian Fertilizers, MAHA, Cattle on Feed 5/25/25
Highlights From The Moscow Times: European lawmakers on Thursday approved new tariffs on Russian fertilizer imports, a move aimed at cutting financial support for Moscow’s war effort, but one that has sparked concerns among EU farmers over rising costs. More than a quarter of the EU’s nitrogen-based fertilizer imports currently come from Russia, with additional volumes entering from Belarus, a close ally of Moscow. The EU Commission wants to end that dependence. The tar

Wright team
May 254 min read


Weekly Summary & Recommendations 5/21/25
Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn , soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), fuel , fertilizers for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report here . We discussed 2025 corn and soybeans marketing plan on March 23.Refer to our daily mailing on that day or this post on the website. We provide three different marketing plans (in order

Wright team
May 216 min read


Weekly Basis 5/18/25
It's our weekly US grain market prices analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index settled at 42,655, +1,405 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $62.49, +1.43. Dollar Index settled at 100.98, +0.56. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 1,388, +89 for the week. Corn July futures at $4.43½, -6¼¢ for the week. December futures at $4.35½, -6½¢ for the week. Basis (N = July; e.g. 10N means 10¢ over July

Wright team
May 184 min read


Tidbits, Wheat, 45Z, U.S. Exports 5/17/25
Highlights The 2025 Hard Red Winter Wheat Tour hosted by the Wheat Quality Council wrapped up yesterday with scouts predicting Kansas will harvest 338.5 million bushels of wheat this year. Of the last five years, only in 2021 did Kansas produce more wheat than it will this year; 364 million bushels in 2021. Last year, Kansas produced 307 million bushels. The other three years (2020, 2022, 2023) were all less than 300 million bushels with the worst being 201.3 million bushels

Wright team
May 175 min read


Tidbits, Corn Spread, Brazil Crops, Wheat Tour, Broilers & Ethanol 5/14/25
Tidbits From 19 February to 28 April, July corn lost 10¢ versus December corn. From 28 April to 13 May, the spread of July corn to December lost another 31½ cents! Yesterday, July corn gained 3½¢ on December corn, which is a huge change in direction. From harvest until deep into the spring, when old crop prices lose on new crop prices, that is a bearish indicator, even in an up market. The opposite is also true. We should have shown more respect for what that spread was tel

Wright team
May 154 min read


Weekly Summary & Recommendations 5/14/25
Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn , soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), fuel , fertilizers for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report here . We discussed 2025 corn and soybeans marketing plan on March 23.Refer to our daily mailing on that day or this post on the website. We provide three different marketing plans (in order

Wright team
May 146 min read


Weekly Basis 5/11/25
It's our weekly US grain market prices analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index settled at 41,249, -68 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $61.06, +2.68. Dollar Index settled at 100.42, +0.38. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 1,299, -122 for the week. Corn July futures at $4.49¾, -19¼¢ for the week. December futures at $4.42, -8¼¢ for the week. Basis (N = July; e.g. 10N means 10¢ over July f

Wright team
May 114 min read


Tidbits, Q&A: Carry, Wheat, Biofuel: SAF-BOHO-RINs 5/10/25
Highlights Ag Canada reported yesterday that wheat export traders are saying Chinese buyers have bought 400,000 to 500,000 mts of wheat from Australia and Canada in recent weeks as drought and heat has already done significant damage to the wheat crop in Henan province, which grows about a third of China’s 140 million mts wheat crop. There is a reason May is the seasonal high for wheat prices, so do not be pricing new crop wheat yet. A crop tour projects Oklahoma’s winter

Wright team
May 105 min read


Weekly Summary & Recommendations 5/7/25
Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn , soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), fuel , fertilizers for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report here . We discussed 2025 corn and soybeans marketing plan on March 23.Refer to our daily mailing on that day or this post on the website. We provide three different marketing plans (in order

Wright team
May 75 min read


Weekly Basis 5/4/25
It's our weekly US grain market prices analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index settled at 41,317, +1,204 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $58.38, -4.79. Dollar Index settled at 100.04, +0.45. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 1,421, +48 for the week. Corn July futures at $4.69, -16½¢ for the week. December futures at $4.50¼, -5½¢ for the week. Basis (N = July; e.g. 10N means 10¢ over July

Wright team
May 44 min read


Weekly Summary & Recommendations 4/30/25
Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn , soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), fuel , fertilizers for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report here . We discussed 2025 corn and soybeans marketing plan on March 23.Refer to our daily mailing on that day or this post on the website. We provide three different marketing plans (in order

Wright team
Apr 305 min read


Tidbits, Wheat Lows, Crop Progress, ENSO, Export Inspections 4/29/25
Tidbits Today is the day to liquidate all May long futures positions and basis contracts to avoid any chance of delivery on May futures. Both classes of winter wheat made new contract lows in the new crop contracts yesterday. New crop spring wheat traded within 5¢ of its contract low and settled 8¢ above the 28 March low. Wheat used to trade inversely of the dollar index, but not this spring. The dollar index is down 11% from its 13 January high and just 1% above its low ma

Wright team
Apr 294 min read


Weekly Basis 4/27/25
It's our weekly US grain market prices analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index settled at 40,114, +971 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $63.17, -1.28. Dollar Index settled at 99.59, +0.36. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 1,373, +112 for the week. Corn May futures at $4.78¾, -3½¢ for the week. December futures at $4.55¾, -10¼¢ for the week. Basis (K = May; e.g. 10K means 10¢ over May fut

Wright team
Apr 275 min read


Tidbits, PMI, China, Ukraine, Wheat Conditions, Broilers & Ethanol 4/24/25
Tidbits StoneX’s fertilizer guy, Josh Linville, reports NOLA urea values have hit $450 for the first time since the end of 2022. For reference, 2022 ended with December corn prices at $6.00. South Korean flour mills bought 50,000 mts of milling wheat from the U.S. Jordan has issued a tender to buy up to 120,000 mts of milling wheat. The S&P Global Composite (services and manufacturing) Purchasing Managers Index ( PMI ) for the U.S. was reported at 51.2, down from last mo

Wright team
Apr 245 min read


Weekly Summary & Recommendations 4/23/25
Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn , soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), fuel , fertilizers for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report here . We discussed 2025 corn and soybeans marketing plan on March 23. Refer to our daily mailing on that day or this post on the website. We provide three different marketing plans (in order

Wright team
Apr 235 min read


Weekly Basis 4/20/25
It's our weekly US grain market prices analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index settled at 39,142, -1,070 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $64.45, +2.97. Dollar Index settled at 99.23, -0.55. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 1,261, -13 for the week. Corn May futures at $4.82¼, -8¢ for the week. December futures at $4.66, +2½¢ for the week. Basis (K = May; e.g. 10K means 10¢ over May futur

Wright team
Apr 204 min read


Weekly Summary & Recommendations 4/16/25
Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn , soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), fuel , fertilizers for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report here . We discussed 2025 corn and soybeans marketing plan on March 23.Refer to our daily mailing on that day or this post on the website. Corn Corn situation after the close Tuesday, April 1

Wright team
Apr 164 min read
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