Grain Marketing Education, News & Strategies

Tidbits The U.S. and Iran released the text of an interim agreement their presidents have signed to end their war on Wednesday, with the U.S. President threatening to resume attacks and kill Iranian officials if they failed to honour their ​commitments. Iran's leaders did not address the new threats. The memorandum of understanding stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen, with Iran agreeing to allow “safe passage of commercial vessels with no charge for 60 days only,

This article continues the discussion of how to use put options to make more profit through better marketing. Previous articles were educational of what are commodity options, how their values change in relation to the under lying futures contract, how put options can be used as the primary grain marketing tool or as a secondary marketing tool to add value to a HTA or forward contract. This week, we shift to the process of how to liquidate the put option position at optimum v

Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn, soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), also for inputs like fuel and fertilizer for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report. We provide three different marketing plans (in order of decreasing our preference). The marketing decision is yours to make, obviously you can mix those plans, change the s

Tidbits After the CBOT breakfast break yesterday morning, corn, wheat, and beans jumped sharply higher for no apparent reason. More than an hour later, Eduardo Vanin of AgrInvest Commodities reported that China was rumored to be asking for quotes on U.S. soybeans for Oct to Mar shipment because Brazil’s FOB quotes were so much higher than they were a year ago for the same shipment period. DTN reports old crop corn basis is perking up in the PNW for July-Sep +130 to +135; June

Market Comment The grain futures will not trade this Friday, 19 June for Juneteenth Day. After this week’s three day weekend, two weeks later will be another three day weekend with the 4th of July. July grain options expire on 26 June, that is a week from this Friday. Long July futures and basis contracts must be rolled or cashed out by the close of business on Monday 29 June. Your grain merchandiser may have house rules that require July basis contracts rolled or liquidated

Both the corn and soybean markets traded to lower prices for the move, yet closed higher than Friday's settlement, on Monday. This is bullish price action - just 1 day, but it has meaning in the larger context. Corn has retraced 85% of the up move as of Monday. Soybeans also sold off, then touched and reversed hard on the steeper up trendline shown on the chart. Potatoes: At 370 million tons, potatoes are the eighth largest of the world’s agricultural products, thriving in di

Iran Yesterday at 5:29 PM Eastern Daylight time Donald Trump announced that the agreement between Iran and the U.S. has been concluded. This was also reported by Pakistani Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif: "After intensive negotiations, we are pleased to announce that a peace agreement between the US and Iran has been reached. Both sides have announced an immediate and final cessation of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon. The official signing ceremony wil

World Free-On-Board Grain & Oilseed Prices for June 13, 2026

It's our weekly U.S. grain market analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat, including traders positioning, basis bids tracking, crush margins, weekly news wrap-up and comments. The Dow Jones Index settled on Friday at 51,202, +335 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $84.29, -5.96. Dollar Index settled at 99.81, -0.26. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 2,818, -163. Corn July futures settled at $4.12¾, -4¾¢ for the week. December corn se

Tidbits Iran: Reuters News Service reported yesterday afternoon: U.S. President Donald Trump and mediator Pakistan said on Saturday an initial deal to end the war in the Middle East would be signed on Sunday, although Iran denied the signing would take place so soon. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said the two sides had agreed on a framework for a peace deal and that Islamabad was preparing for an electronic signing on Sunday, ‌to be followed by technical-level talks

Tidbits Red Tape Removed: According to Brazil’s National Supply Company (Conab, a government agency), annual grain production over the past 10 years has grown by an average of nearly 7%, while storage capacity has increased only 2.4%. Currently, Brazil has the capacity to store approximately 60% to 63% of its annual grain production, more than 130 million mts less than needed. That is why their cash prices are so low during harvest; there just is no place to put the grain exc

Focus on the 3 uptrend lines and notice how each successive one is steeper than the previous one. It is also noteworthy that price could not selloff enough this week to test the most recent line. This indicates increasing momentum on the daily, longer term timeframe. Also, today was an inside (energy building) day. Soybeans: At 370 million tons, soybeans are the world’s seventh largest agricultural product and a powerhouse crop, used for food, animal feed, and industrial app

June S&D Yesterday’s USDA June S&D was about as expected except for the increase of South American corn crops. USDA increased old crop corn imports by 3 million bushels which carried through to the carryover. Old crop soybean exports were reduced by 20 million bushels, but the old crop soybean crush was increased the same 20 million bushels, which left the carryover unchanged at 340 million bushels, a 29 day supply. There was no change in the 2026 corn or bean production numb

The selling momentum has stalled in the last couple of days, with yesterday attempting another small down leg that was met with aggressive buying. I believe this market is counting a C wave correction from the rally which began last summer. We could see more backfilling creating an up D and down E leg, but the higher probability is new buying. Watch for heavy selling around 1200.0 - if not, then targets are 1300.0-1325.0. Sideways is out of the question because of recent pric

Numbers were: Slightly Friendly Wheat Slightly Negative Corn due to increased world carryovers Neutral Soybeans 25 Minutes after the June S&D Was Issued: July Corn -3.5 Dec Corn -4 July Beans -8.5 Nov Beans -5 July SRW Wheat +1 July HRW Wheat +5 Sept HRS Wheat +2

Tidbits June S&D: At 11 AM Central Time today, the USDA will issue its June S&D. It most likely will have very little impact on the markets. It is too early for USDA to change yields or acres for corn and beans. Wheat production could be interesting, but wheat harvest is just getting a good start. The demand side could see an increase in corn exports, a decrease in soybean exports with an increase in soybean crush. Will USDA reduce or increase the size of Brazil’s safrinha co

Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn, soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), also for inputs like fuel and fertilizer for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report. We provide three different marketing plans (in order of decreasing our preference). The marketing decision is yours to make, obviously you can mix those plans, change the s

Tidbits Flash Sale: Yesterday, the USDA reported sales of 120,000 mts of old crop corn to unknown destinations. Yesterday’s corn market action was not nearly as bullish as we hoped after losing 38¢ in 13 days, a “hook reversal” on Monday, the crop ratings after the close Monday afternoon were not as good as the market expected, and another corn flash sale yesterday morning. None-the-less, there were some positive indicators yesterday for the corn market: The lead futures mont

Tidbits July corn traded down to $4.12½ yesterday morning, but settled 6¼¢ above the low and up 1¼¢ for the day. A new low followed by a higher daily settlement is a “hook reversal” and a noteworthy technical trend change signal. While it is not as reliable a trend changer as a “key reversal,” we will take it. The settlement 6¼¢ above the low is very significant. Corn basis firmed again Monday and we expect it will continue to firm until futures rally at least 20 to 30¢ to mo

Tidbits Weather: The 6 to 10 day and 8 to 14 day weather forecasts have shifted from hot and wet to cool and wet for the Midwest, typical El Niño weather. U.S. Jobs: U.S. average job gains in 2025: 10,000 a month. U.S. average job gains first five months of 2026: 114,000 a month.