Grain Marketing Education, News & Strategies

Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn, soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), also for inputs like fuel and fertilizer for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report. We provide three different marketing plans (in order of decreasing our preference). The marketing decision is yours to make, obviously you can mix those plans, change the s

Tidbits Planting Feedback: Jeff in Minnesota sent us this information yesterday morning: “Friend of mine around Charleston (far southeast) Missouri called last night. Record heat temps along with dry soils. Planting corn 2.5” deep to get in moisture. And he is a no till guy. He said guys around there planted all their corn in 4 days.” Brazilian agency CONAB estimated yesterday total corn production 1.3 million higher, at 139.6 million mts, but below last year’s 141.2 million.

Tidbits OPEC has lowered its world oil demand forecast for the second quarter by 500,000 barrels per day to 105.07 million bpd, citing the economic impact of the ongoing war in the Middle East, Bloomberg reported. AAA lists the national average gasoline price at $4.12, up from $3.63 a month ago and $3.18 a year ago. The national average diesel price at $5.65, up from $4.89 a month ago and $3.59 a year ago. Biofuel & Oils: Palm oil is the most plentiful vegetable oil, which is

Tidbits The U.S. and Iran failed to reach an agreement. Each side blamed the other for the failure of the 21-hour negotiations to make a deal. Iran will not agree to give up its pursuit of developing nuclear weapons. The U.S. and most of its allies require Iran to give up that pursuit. After all, Iran has openly stated for 47 years it wants to “Blow Israel off the map” and “Death to America.” The military operation versus Iran will not end unless Iran has a regime change

World Free-On-Board Grain & Oilseed Prices for April 11, 2026\

Last week, May Soybeans gapped down, then continued selling 20.0 cents to the low, however the buyers quickly stepped in and rallied price back up through the bottom of the channel. Therefore, the current evidence tells us that soybeans cannot sell off any more. This formation is called a fakeout/shakeout - the market pushes down to take out the sell stops, then reverses back up, with the would be retail buyers frozen, not knowing what is happening. You will see a smaller red

It's our weekly U.S. grain market analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat, including traders positioning, basis bids tracking, crush margins, weekly news wrap-up and comments. The Dow Jones Index settled on Friday at 47,917, +1,412 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $95.63, -16.43. Dollar Index settled at 98.698, -1.49. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 2,201, +135. Corn May futures settled at $4.41, -11¼¢ for the week. December corn

Tidbits Saturday's negotiations between the United States and Iran concluded according to Iran's government early this morning (Sunday), after a series of talks in Pakistan to end the six-week war between Washington and Tehran. The talks in Islamabad were the first ‌direct U.S.-Iranian meeting in more than a decade and the highest-level discussions since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. In a post on X, Iran's government said that after 14 hours, technical experts from both si

Tidbits Flash sale: Yesterday morning, the USDA announced the sale of 126,000 mts of old crop corn to unknown and 100,000 mts of old crop soybean meal to Italy. Strait of Hormuz: There is a very slight chance of a long term solution to the Iran War will come from Islamabad, Pakistan, the site of the first face-to-face talks between U.S. and Iranian people which is under way this morning. Vice President JD Vance is leading the U.S. delegation. Before a long-term deal can b

Tidbits Flash Sale: Yesterday, the USDA reported sales of 136,000 mts of old crop corn to South Korea. Annual U.S. retail inflation was reported at 2.8% in February, the same pace as in the previous month and matching expectations. Core annual inflation excluding food and energy was 3%, down from 3.1% in the prior month. Both remain well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. U.S. initial jobless claims rose to 219,000 on the week ending April 4th, higher than was expected, t

CBOT 10 Minutes After The April S&D Report May corn -4 Dec Corn -3 May beans +2 Nov Benas +1 July CBOT wheat -10 July KC wheat -9 Sept Spring wheat -5 Above prices were just slightly weaker after the report than before the report. Biggest news is soybean exports were reduced by 35 million bushels, but soybean crush was increased by the same amount. No changes in South A merican crop sizes.

Tidbits Iran: The two week cease fire between Iran versus Israel and the U.S. is very fragile and most likely will collapse. Iran claims Israel has already broken the agreement. Many countries claim Iran has also broken the agreement. The Strait of Hormuz remained shut to vessels sailing without a permit and shippers said they needed more clarity before resuming transit. Marine Traffic data ⁠showed two Greek-owned and two Chinese-owned bulk carriers passed through the strait

Grain market summary of price outlook, seasonal situation, fundamental & technical analysis with our recommendations for corn, soybeans and wheat (Soft Red Winter, Hard Red Winter & Spring), also for inputs like fuel and fertilizer for past week Wednesday to Tuesday. Read about our approach to this report. We provide three different marketing plans (in order of decreasing our preference). The marketing decision is yours to make, obviously you can mix those plans, change the s

Tidbits Crude oil prices drop and stocks rally after Trump’s ceasefire announcement. China intervened at the last minute and persuaded Iran to agree to a two-week ceasefire, The New York Times reported, citing Iranian officials. Still, the ceasefire hasn't really clarified anything when it comes to the Strait of Hormuz. Some, maybe most of the reason for the weakness of corn and soybean markets is the fear of Thursday’s monthly S&D, which is typical every month. Brazil soy ha

Tidbits Budgeting: Progressive Farmer reported that President Donald Trump’s proposed budget for USDA again calls for making a nearly 20% cut to discretionary programs. The top line for the president’s budget released Friday is a $1.5 trillion request for Defense spending, while proposing to cut about $660 billion in non-military spending across the federal government. U.S. agriculture equipment maker Deere on ​Monday agreed to pay $99 million into a settlement fund for ‌ far

Corn Market Summary Corn, wheat, and soybean futures usually trade to their highest price of the year between late April and late June. Every Wednesday we send you an email entitled Weekly Summary & Recommendations (link in the section below) in which we discuss the technical outlook, fundamental outlook, seasonal price trend, and profitability of the current price. Given the new information from the USDA with 2026 acres, the quarterly stocks information and the latest weat

World Free-On-Board Grain & Oilseed Prices for April 4, 2026

Happy Easter! May Corn has been in a trading range for about 3 months now, between 445.0 and 475.0. On April fools day, corn tested near the lower part of the range at about 445.0 and formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern which projects a rally back to the upper part of the range to about 474.0. You will see this pattern highlighted on the chart. There is no technical evidence at this time that corn will be able to rally above the 475.0 to 480.0 level. Technical analy

It's our weekly U.S. grain market analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat, including traders positioning, basis bids tracking, crush margins, weekly news wrap-up and comments. The Dow Jones Index settled on Friday at 46,505, +1,338 points for the week. Crude oil settled at $112.06, +12.42. Dollar Index settled at 100.19, steady. Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 2,066, +35. Corn May futures settled at $4.52¼, -9¾¢ for the week. December cor

Tidbits Iran: U.S. officials confirmed Friday morning that an American aircraft, probably an F-15E Strike Eagle, was shot down by Iranian forces. One of the two crewmen was recovered and the search continues for the second crew member. A second aircraft, an A-10 Warthog, was shot yesterday over the Persian Gulf, but the pilot was able to reach Kuwait to bail out and was recovered. A major highway bridge in Tehran was destroyed by U.S. military aircraft on Friday. Late y