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Weekly Basis 2/16/25

Writer: Wright teamWright team

It's our weekly US grain market prices analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat.


Dow Jones Industrial Average Index settled at 44,303, -241.26 points for the week.

Crude oil settled at $71.06, -2.75.

Dollar Index settled at 108.1, -0.40.

Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 815, +80 for the week.

 

Corn


March futures at $4.96¼, +8¾¢ for the week.

December futures at $4.73, +7¢ for the week.


Basis (H = March; e.g. 10H means 10¢ over March futures) (Futures price + Basis = Cash price)

  • The US national average basis is -32H, steady.

  • Dayton, Ohio Cargill’s spot basis is 5H, steady, $5.01 cash price.

  • Iowa Falls Poet’s spot basis is -10H, 5¢ firmer, $4.86 cash price.


COT Report (Commitment of Traders, chart below)

  • Commercial Traders change is +27,199 to 616,578 net short (sold 135.995 mil. bu. more of physical grain than bought).

  • Big Spec Funds change is -31,828 to 332,389 net long.

  • Open Interest change is -16,388 to 2,602,485.

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