Highlights
Wheat has been the upside leader the past three trading days. What are analysts saying is moving the wheat market higher?
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The dry US Southern Plains (this area had a crop failure in 2023 and the market did not care)
Forecast for freezing temps in Europe
Too much rain in France
Not enough rain in Southern Russia Â
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Except for cold temperatures in Europe, all of the above is and has been old news for several months and more for the dry Southern Plains.
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Yesterday, soft red winter wheat (CBOT) and hard red winter wheat (KCBOT) July contracts closed above their 100 day moving average price. That will attract another round of technical buyers.
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July 2024 CBOT wheat is 17¾¢ over the May 2024 CBOT wheat. Full carry is 16½¢. Seldom do we ever see any carry get to 100%; this May to July wheat carry is 106%. That encourages commercials to hang on to their wheat and make that sure-fire profit storing the wheat.   Â